Re: stupid bet?
Thing is, UTG is likely to be a bad player (he did LRR after all) so he'll probably make a crying call on the river. If he were a good player, then it depends on your reads of the other 3 players. How likely are they to call down with nothing? Do they frequently go to showdown and then fold? Do they raise top pair hands?
If you check, you may get the information for free. Say UTG bets and one of the limpers raises. Now you have an easy fold. UTG bets and one of the limpers calls is probably the most difficult situation and is read dependent. If it gets checked through, that's fine too, you may have had an extremely thin value bet.
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