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Old 09-22-2005, 05:38 PM
Shillx Shillx is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Frog and Peach Pub, Downtown SLO
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Default Re: That seems like a bad river card, live 20/40

But why isn't that river card a perfect one to induce a bluff?

I don't quite follow here. Do you mean induce a bluff with something like Q9 or a true stone bluff?

It seems to me that he isn't going to have a hand worth "bluffing" very often. If he was drawing to a flush...it came in. There wasn't a straight draw on the flop so that is out of the question. So if he is bluffing here, it would seem that he would have to have at least aces up. If he has aces & nines I feel like he will just check behind since you will throw KQ away and call with QQ or KJ or Ax or whatever. If he bets I have a feeling that you are going to look at either trips or a flush the vast majority of the time. Now I could be wrong and misinterpreting the read but it seems like there is little that he would payoff here that you beat. You would certainly win << 50% if you are called (or raised).

Brad
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