Re: Thin value bet? 3/6
I don't like it. Assuming he calls any Ace high (which is fair, though I think some non-club ones fold occasionally), I'm counting 36 of those that don't beat you (AQ-AT).
He's calling all pairs. AK, A9-A7 (not as likely since he apparently doesn't raise much), KQ, KJ, all pocket pairs.
The idea of a value bet is to have the best hand more than 50% of the time when called. I don't see that happening. Add the amount of times he'll bluff off a hand like AQo with a club, and I think you have a pretty easy check-call.
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