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Old 09-22-2005, 10:48 AM
Macedon Macedon is offline
Junior Member
 
Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 18
Default Re: top set on the turn... checkraise or fire?

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No real reads on my opponent, he had just sat in a few hands before. I suspect he will bet if I check, and may fold if I bet out.

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If this is hero's read, why is everyone advocating betting out??

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The button has showed some strength throughout the hand. He is obviously holding something of value.

Since there is a chance---however slight---that the ace either helped him (AK, A8, A5, AX), or doesn't scare him (5-5, 8-8), or better yet...will encourage him to go for a bluff raise (but only when you bet small, showing weakness), then I think the bet is worth the gamble.

A bet here could build a monster pot, whereas a check by the poster could risk a check behind and limit your ability to put down a callable river bet.

If he folds, that's fine. It's a nice pot. But it has the potential to be so much juicier.
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