[NoChance]

$400 Vikings -4
$300 Packers +3.5
$200 Broncos -2.5
$100 Jets -3

I post the following per Lorinda's request (and also for those who would like to see what my warped mind is thinking). As you read, keep in mind I look for value moreso than the better team.

$400 Vikings -4 Come on now. We all know the Vikings are better than they have shown. Everyone is talking about Culpepper and his confidence being shot. Well, look at his last four games against the Saints and you will see he has not been held under 300 yards. Last year he threw for about 450 against them. This is a team where he should have TONS of confidence. Also, this line opened at Min -6.5 and has now dropped to -3.5. This is where I see the extra value. Now for the Saints. They played a very inspired game the first game of the year. Their situation has got to wear on them as the season goes on. They are essentially playing their 3rd road game in a row. Plus, add the fact that they played Monday night and had a short week, you now have my entire list of reasons I like the VIkings at home to put a good game together.

$300 Packers +3.5 Last week the Packers had their absolute worst offensive game in 13 years. On the other hand, the Bucs probably played the best two games they might play all year long the past two weeks. All of this is fresh in everyone's mind this week. Tampa is the better team this year but this line has value written all over it. Give me the pack with the points at home this week.

$200 Broncos -2.5 I may be one of the few that thinks KC is overrated right now. You can't deny they are a public favorite because of their play this year. However, the Raiders made all kinds of mental mistakes last week. They had two touchdowns taken off the board and also missed a field goal. That game could have gone the other way easily and the Raiders are not a very good team. The Broncos always play tough at home. People also still have that fist game loss against the Dolphins in their mind. Value I say! Also, the is KC's second straight road game and Denver's second straight home game.

$100 Jets -3 I had a hard time coming up with a third game this week. I thought about Atlanta because I believe they will hold Losman in check but decided against it due to Vick's uncertain status. I thought about the Colts but there isn't much value there as everyone loves them this year. I thought about Cincy because I think they have played very solid on both sides of the ball. Unfortunately everyone else knows it too so there is no value there. Plus, I try to stay away from road teams if possible. That left me with the Jets. Not a whole ton of reasons here. I think the first game of the year against KC might still be in some people's mind and may have some value here. I am also hoping Jacksonville is exhausted from the game with the Colts last week and has less energy this week.