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Old 09-20-2005, 01:00 AM
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Default Re: $55: Extracting set value, first hand

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I think you should push because it makes you look weaker than any other raise and you have to raise.

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I tend to agree with this. Push and watch Ax come along for the ride.

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Heh, um how about no.

How could you guys say pushing is the best play...I honestly dont even believe it.

It is level 1 for goodness sake people! You can get plenty of chips with little risk, and this is the perfect place to do it.

Pushing the flop does nothing...you win 200 chips which puts you at 1200, enough to last the blinds for the next 4 rounds, woop-de-frickin-do.

I honestly think that 200 is the perfect bet here. You most likely will get 1 or 2 callers here which will put the pot at 650-850. Betting 200 gives a strong ace the chance to catch his kicker...and the flush draw his 9 outs with NO RISK TO YOU WHAT SO EVER, You could force fold the turn if a heart hits and you would be in fine shape with 750 chips(dont do that).

I am sorry but I am extremely bad at math...

There are basically 9 cards in the whole deck so 20%(or whatever) of the time a heart comes on the turn for the flush draw player.
Lets also say that the Ax player(however high the "x" maybe) has basically no chance of winning this pot(very small).

So you are up against a player that has 9 outs and someone drawing dead.

20% of the time you lose on the turn(
80% of the time you keep building the pot up(Ax calls turn bet) or win it

No heart on turn...

Push the river

You may or may not get the Ax to call, but the flush draw is out of there.


Whatever..i am tired. I am going to go confuse someone else for a while...sorry if this makes no sense or is totally wrong.

EDIT....AWE [censored]...I THOUGHT HE BET THE 200...sorry
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