Thread: bluff
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  #10  
Old 09-19-2005, 10:31 PM
Go_Blue88 Go_Blue88 is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 361
Default Re: bluff

[ QUOTE ]
Someone correct me if I'm wrong, since I'm sorta in a rush, but i feel like responding anyways. Isn't this play +EV if Villian folds ~76/~278=x% of the time he needs to fold? If so, then I like this play b/c the only hand I can see Villian having here that will call this is A10. Based on the fact that he'll fold everything lower than an Ace kicker, this seems like a +EV play.

[/ QUOTE ]

I just reread my post and I meant 1-[that quantity]. Anyways, regardless, it looks like he has to fold about 75% of the time for this to be a +EV play. To those advocating for a small bet, I disagree. While this play (obviously) encompasses higher variance, a player really couldn't call with less than an ace based on the way hero played this hand. Moreover, it's a good play for metagame purposes (for obvious reasons I guess). Anyways, I like it.
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