Bullsh*t Equity?
If I have the nuts on the river and I'm last to act, I will occasionally raise all-in with a humongous overbet.
I know it's generally a bad idea to 'make moves' at the SSNL tables, but if my opponent and I each have $30, and I think there is more than a 1 in 10 chance he'll call, it should be more profitable (long-term) for me to hurl out the $30 ridiculoso bet than for me to cough up the $3 value bet:
(1 call /10 hands) @ $30/call = $30 per 10 hands
(9 calls /10 hands) @ $3/call = $27 per 10 hands
(And this is with the generous assumption that he'll call the $3 value-bet 9 out of 10 times.)
The name 'Bullshit Equity' comes from the unnecessary and often reckless level of doubt cast upon overbets at these low-lim tables.
Sometimes I'll open with the all-in bet from EP, too...if I think the chances of him BS-calling my nuts are worth it.
Am I wasting easy value-calls? What about my table image - am I damaging it or somehow helping it [by potentially conveying myself as reckless]?
Sorry if this topic is old and stale/Thanks for feedback.
J CHaaahaahaaaap
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