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Old 09-15-2005, 01:42 AM
Maulik Maulik is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: 30 + rake
Posts: 892
Default Re: AQo lvl3 deep stacked, in position w/ 20bb

[ QUOTE ]
I think you should push and this is why:

Right now you currently lay claim to .1037% of the prize pool.

If you call and win it will be .1914%, 0% if you lose.

We'll assume the villian calls 100% of the time for now.

.1914win% + 0lose% >= .1037

So you have to win over 54% of the time here if the villian calls *every* time.

AQ vs. any broadway is 58% to win. I think we can put the villiant on *at least* any two broadways. And he *will* fold some of the time.

Generally I will fold this vs. a good player who hasn't been raising a ton b/c he will still likely call almost all of the time but I will only be 50/50 at best or possibly worse. Of course, if I think I have quite a bit of FE then going allin with AQ starts to become a real option here.

However, since the dude has been so active, even though he will call you almost all the time, you can push this for a profit.



Yugoslav

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if you decide to post girls, i suggest you do at least consider my needs. i'm more of a dark haired columbian or italian kind of guy. preference, if you will. **gosh**
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