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Old 09-15-2005, 01:40 AM
DrewOnTilt DrewOnTilt is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2003
Posts: 173
Default Re: 42s and the flop explodes

[ QUOTE ]
SB: 28/17/1
MP3: 42/23/5
CO: got nothin (on him, that's not a hand read)
Button: 67/41/0.8

(All in 40-80 hands)

Party Poker 2/4 Hold'em (9 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

Preflop: Hero is BB with 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. UTG posts a blind of $2.
UTG (poster) checks, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, MP3 calls, CO calls, Button calls, SB completes, Hero checks.

Flop: (6 SB) 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(6 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets</font>, Hero calls, UTG folds, <font color="#CC3333">MP3 raises</font>, <font color="#CC3333">CO 3-bets</font>, Button calls, <font color="#CC3333">SB caps</font>, <font color="green">Hero...?</font>

The table has not been crazy...

[/ QUOTE ]

Holy Crap.

SB could have essentially any piece of this board - ragged 2 pair, set of 6s, nut flush draw. I'm leaning towards a small set given his stats.

MP3's aggression factor is fairly high for someone who sees 42% of flops, so we can assign him almost as large of a range of hands - K9, 99, flush draw.

CO - we don't have a read but I'm leaning towards a made hand. Only a small percentage of 2/4 players will 3-bet on a draw.

I would be very tempted to fold this flush draw given all of the money being moved at the pot. Then again, I'm feeling a bit ingenious since tonight in a similar situation I dumped an open ended straight draw, and it turned out I was up against another player with the same straight draw and a nut flush draw that hit.

This is a tough call. I'm leaning towards a fold, since we are obviously going to get heavily charged to draw at a weak flush.
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