Re: Week 2 steam games
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I think its important to analyze why the "steam" move is happening.
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The moves that count the most are the ones right before kickoff/tipoff.
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I don't know if I completely agree with this. The "pros" generally bet early. Wouldn't those matter more? Towards the end of the week is when the squares bet and a lot of times they are getting worse lines or are betting it up (albeit slowly) for the pros.
craig
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The most important moves are the pros betting the lines the first day, and then the last hour before kickoff as has been noted.
Often, the public will extend a move the pros have made, say FLA from 3.5 to 5, and run that up to 6.5 like they have now. Then right before KO, some pros will take the other side at 6.5 or 7, because they feel the value has shifted or to create a perfect middle - 28-24, 17-12, 34-28, 20-14, and win on both sides.
naj
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