Re: 99 capped preflop, do you get aggressive somewhere?
1. we're cool
2. i disagree... and if they are folding, we're not gaining many outs (say, absolute tops, 6, if we fold a JT and button has AKs).... but i think the biggest argument is that in order for this to be the right play you have to peg button for precisely AKs AND the propensity to raise it if bet into
3. nice
4. you would be getting 1:15 on your turn call. you're drawing to 2:46... you don't have the odds... except that you might still be ahead. however... you shouldn't check the turn.
5. yup
6. this is precisely why we're disagreeing on this hand. you're taking a look at the turn action to justify flop actions. however, when you don't have the benefit of knowing in advance that the button will check behind on the turn, AND that the turn is not a scare card, you can't so easily make that flop judgement.
7. if you're raised on the flop (after leading) and the turn is a, do you bet again? do you check/fold? what happens if it's raised and called in two places, it gets checked around, and the river comes up a K? the point is, there's a ton of cards that can fall on the turn that are bad for us, and we may already be behind, we can see the turn cheaply, probably, and if not (someone is c/r'ing the flop), we can get out for the absolute minimum (zero)
this is a pretty clear wait for the turn scenario. on this favorable turn, you've got to bet the turn to prevent AKs from getting a free shot to outdraw you.
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