Re: Hypothetical question that will blow your mind.
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Sure you will. You just never get to see it b/c often times you fold 36 PF. Even if a 4 flops it's not like you can stick around to catch your 57 or 25 on the turn and river, in NL.
You will have the nut hand by the river far more than you are imagining.
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What's your estimate as to how often you'll have the nut hand on the river?
If we're talking about ten handed play, I would be shocked if it was more than 2% of the time, and would guess that it is even less than 1%.
I'm not really sure how to get an accurate calculation of this though -- I just figure that of your winners, probably less than 10%, but maybe as much as 20%, are the nuts. To be honest, it seems as though 20% of your winning hands being the nuts is way too high.
[Note -- I'm assuming that 10% of your hands are winners].
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