[citanul]

i don't really understand the people who say that mike's hand is so impossible to gauge at this point. personally i would put it more likely that he has something, as he bet behind someone who's default action in this spot if they hit the board is going to be to checkraise all in.

a) the guy is short
b) the guy knows mike bets often, but probably isn't wise enough to realize that mike knows that he knows, because few are.

so what do we know about mike's hand?

a) mike continuation bet knowing that it was decently likely he was going to get checkraised

b) mike knew that he was basically going to be pot committed to calling that checkraise

c) mike's not stupid

so, i like, in spots like this, to be way more likely to put him on a hand.

i guess this has to be taken with a grain of salt though, as i've seen more than a small number of hands where he's known the bb well enough to just continuation bet here with junk and expect to take it down on the flop.

citanul