[whipsaw]

Only a few games on Monday, but one play I really like.

Toronto at +129 vs. Boston

Seriously, +129 with this pitching matchup? Arroyo hasn't won a road start since early July, and his overall road numbers are mediocre on the year. His ERA and WHIP are also weak over his last three starts. Ted Lilly is no Cy Young candidate, but he has been pretty good at home this year, going 7-3 with an ERA over a run lower than his overall. He schooled Boston over 6+ last time out against them. In fact, he's pitched against them three times this year and Toronto has won all three of those games (with Lilly giving up only 3 ER in over 17 IP and earning two wins). Boston has arguably the worst road bullpen in the majors. I think this is a huge play.

Good luck if you follow me with this play. Fade at will. [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]