[Mathieu]

DrunkHamster,

Thanks for sharing your thoughts. I would like to add something to the numbers that you used.

By saying that we need to be a 66 % (2-1) favorite, we are assuming that villain will only raise with better hands. If villain will raise with weaker hands, we don't need to be this much of a favorite.

I think it is also important to estimate how does our hand compare with the hands that villain will raise with.

For example, we could be 60 % favorite given what we know so far, but if we are still above 50% vs villains' raising hands, then betting would still be profitable I think.