Re: Anything that can happen will happen?
Dear remiraz,
[ QUOTE ]
Will the occurance of black swans not contradict probability theory??
[/ QUOTE ]
You are distorting the work of Nassim Taleb [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
Black swan events are a particularity of non-finite (or not completely known) sets. It doesn't apply to poker which is a game with, a large, but finite number of states (its set).
Unless you would consider being dealt AA 100 time in a row, a back swan event. I would not, it is a distinct possibility. In fact, it is AS possible as ANY arbitrary sequences of hole cards being.
|