[ QUOTE ]
kdoublek, the problem with your line is that this is how I might play a wide variety of hands. AJ, suiteds, X3. He could very easily be value-bettting here after letting the hero fire out all the bets he wanted to. I think the odds of a bluff are about equal to the odds of a boat - about 20% for each. But that means you've got a hand to value bet 60% of the time.

[/ QUOTE ]

the opponent is described as weak, tight, and passive. these opponents are rarely, rarely raising the river here without a hand that beats our K-high flush.

i would expect to see AdJd or JJ here at least 80% of the time.