Re: Too passive with AK?
I like the check on the flop. You dont have anything, and are unlikely to fold out a person with any piece of this. Also you will not want to get c/r by a queen.
Turn is a good. I dont think I want to cap the turn here. This is because there is so much paint out there.
River? Well... depends on reads I think. How many hand would he play this way?
You need to be ahead 66% of the time to make a raise correct (unless you can fold to a 3-bet, I cant ).
So something like
AQ - 6
QJ - 6
QT - 6
KQ - 6
So you are 50/50 here. So Raising has a negative expection.
EV = .50 (1 bet) + .50 (-2 bets) = -.5
I believe that is correct. Of course, someone might disagree with my hand range evaluation (or I screwed up the math [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] )
Given no read on my opponent, I think that hand range is fair. He has to call 1 bet out of the BB. He then checks the flop, but 3 bets the turn.
I would expect him to 3 bet AK here, so thats why I discluded it.
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