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Old 09-08-2005, 03:10 PM
stevepa stevepa is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 57
Default Re: Got knocked out following HOH advice

[ QUOTE ]
"Against a tight range of 99+ you're a 66-33 dog to double up."

Why would you want to be take that bet then? 99+ is the top 2.8% of hands, multiply that by players remaining (minus the cards in your hand). 3 off the button you're going to get called by a hand that has you crushed >15% of the time. You're pushing to steal and increase your stack by 14%. -EV.

[/ QUOTE ]

As Fnurt noted above, if the calling range is that tight, pushing any two is +EV (i.e. if you were to push in that situation a very large number of times you would, on average, end up with more chips than if you folded). Just because you're called and are an underdog more often that everyone folds does not make it -EV. Remember you win some of the time you're called.

Steve
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