[Nicholasp27]

ok, it's not 100% in a vacuum...it does predict how much you should expect to win in the long run given equal skill levels with X number of chips vs Y number of chips vs Z number of chips...then takes into account your hand and your opps' calling ranges and does probability of X, Y, Z occurring and then tells u which move has the outcome of giving you the most equity after this hand, thus which move gives you more money in the long run with ALL ELSE EQUAL...but it's not equal...

it's wrong to say that icm tells u your expected equity if skill is even...it's more than if skill is even...it also depends on table image as well as skill...

if you push 27o with +.1 ev and get called, it takes that into account, but it doesn't take into account that your table image is now shot and the range opens up widely...

it doesn't take into account that if u steal someone's blind, the next time you push into their blind they may open up their range...even if it was just once...

it just cannot predict the future on its own, so your statement that there are no other important factors cannot be correct...even with 100% accurate inputs, sngpt still only does one hand...


icm may say that pushing gives you .23 equity and folding gives you .22 equity...but that does not mean u take it as gospel and push it