Re: Pop quiz
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Eric said that it was a close call between folding the turn and calling the turn/folding the river unimproved.
He did not say that it was close between either of these options and calling down - when you only get ~ half the pot odds.
Would the difference between ~7:1 and ~4:1 not have to be made up by the chance of winning unimproved?
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#1
We can call the turn and make a small profit.
#2
We can call the river and make a small profit.
How could 2 profitable calls ever become a -EV action?
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#1 We can only call and make a small profit on the turn if we fold the river unimproved. If we are obliging ourselves to call the river UI, we no longer have the odds to call the turn (we are now only getting ~4:1 on an ~8:1 shot) - unless we have the best hand a reasonable % of the time (#10%, say).
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