Re: Semi-tough river value bet?
Your description of the player makes me lean towards betting. My reasoning is that if he has an A, then there's no harm. If he has a K, you lose. But this player is capable of calling with a medium pocket pair too, according to your characterization of him.
What I'm not sure of is whether the issue is:
(1) Is there a greater chance that he has a K or a pocket pair?, or
(2) Is there a greanter chance that he has an A or a K, rather than a smaller pocket pair?
|