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Old 09-06-2005, 04:17 PM
Nicholasp27 Nicholasp27 is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2004
Posts: 93
Default Re: SNG math theory??? what point does loose early play become ok?

it'd be interesting if someone did a simulation for this for say, level 1 (10/15 blinds)

make a prelim list of hands to limp in with if 1/2/3/4/etc callers...have it deal 10 random hands...the ones meeting the criteria in the lists above would limp in...then have your player limp in with any 2...if hits flop with good hand (trips/top pair/flush/straight/2 pair/boat) then bet 1/2 pot...any limped hand that hit any part also calls bet...continue on down...over millions of trials u can improve the lists for 1/2/3/4/.../9 limpers before u based on which win big enough pots on average to give them odds to limp based on how often they win the hand


(ie we can say aa may win 60% of time vs random limper, but what size pot will they win on average? depends on how often average limped hand hits enough to call 1/2 pot bet and then so on down to river...if 27 shows to win 15% [5.67-1] of the time against 2 limpers and the average pot is 6bbs, then it's a +ev play against 2 limpers))
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