Re: The kind of calls you need to make at the $215s....
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
He is getting 1505:805, or nearly 2:1. Against this range, he is only a 5% dog. Clear call.
equity (%) win (%) / tie (%)
Hand 1: 46.5513 % [ 00.42 00.04 ] { A2o }
Hand 2: 53.4487 % [ 00.49 00.04 ] { AA-22, AKs-A2s, KQs-K5s, QJs-Q7s, JTs-J8s, T9s, AKo-A2o, KQo-K5o, QJo-Q7o, JTo-J8o, T9o }
[/ QUOTE ]
Don't forget, this is for ALL his chips. That makes this a fold in my book. It's not like having odds of calling a 100 river bet.
[/ QUOTE ]
Yea, getting 1.6-1 on the call, being a 1.2-1 dog against the average hands. Yea, wonderful fold. Not even considering that you will still have 400 in chips left if you happen to lose.
The argument for folding is that you can just get those chips back next hand by pushing from the sb. I would say that the chances of getting it folded to me in the sb would be about 25% and the chances that I would have a hand that I would want to push would be about 40%, therefore by folding this hand where I might be a favorite I am [censored] myself.
Here is an experiment for sng players to try. When you think you have the best hand push or call, and when you don't fold. Instead of folding favorites until you are so desperate that you need to push two [censored] cards.
|