Re: PS 2/4: AJs
I think people are making huge assumption that the hero's opponent knows what he is doing. The hero is 8 tabling, so has pretty much no read. This could be a maniac that caps every hand he raises as often as it is a solid player that only caps AA-JJ and AK.
It is way too weak-tight to fold on the river with no knowledge that our opponent knows what they are doing.
You're probably beat. But 8-1? Do the solid players out-number the nutjobs 8-1? Not in my experience.
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he's getting 8-to-1 and needs to win this hand more than 1 out of 9 times.
what does villian three-bet here and keep betting the whole way, including value betting the river, that hero can beat?
AK has him, AQ has him, AA beats him, KK beats him, QQ beats him. there is no question this is a correct river fold, although it looks very tempting to call.
aseem
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