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Old 08-29-2005, 11:34 PM
A_PLUS A_PLUS is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2004
Posts: 44
Default Re: Inflection point?

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One more thing, if hero can't fold here, then he should have known that PF and pushed PF.

[/ QUOTE ]

I agree most of the time. However, with your stack the way it is, making a standard raise knowing that the rest of your chips are following no matter what is a high variance strategy I will use on occasion. I think something that people tend to forget about (me included), is that within the next orbit or two, finding a 40% equity spot to double (+2x whatever blinds you can steal) is fairly likely. So 500 chips are hardly worthless.

I think we tend to under-estimate our future stack sizes when we fold here.

IMO, the distribution looks something like:
call: 75% 0 , 25% apx 1600
fold: (within this blind level) 60% 0, 40% apx 1000 chips.

I dont know if this makes this a fold or not, I am still leaning call, but something to consider.
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