Re: $5-10 QQ bad river
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Right,
I said they are equally likely since AK is usually 3bet preflop but there are 16 comboes of AK and only 8 comboes of AQ. There are also 8 comboes of KQ here.
Also, AT and AJ are 8 comboes each. Just my two cents.
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Got it.
My basic thought here is that the vast majority of the time villain either has us beat (like 80% or more) or got even more screwed by the river than we did (holding something like KQ or 99). I think villain will pretty rarely have a hand that will call this river and not raise it.
Another reason to consider why checking is better than bet-calling is an opponent with a T in his hand may check this river behind fearing a check-raise from Js full (not likely, but possible) and save us a bet. Certainly not a huge consideration but it may make a tiny difference.
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