Thread: Is this a fold?
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Old 08-28-2005, 10:01 PM
Pat Southern Pat Southern is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 30
Default Is this a fold?

We're in the money in the 500k guaranteed, about 300 left when this hand came up. I've gone allin in 3 of the past 5 hands and not been called. This guy had played very tight the entire time he was at my table (like 30 hands), but when he played a hand he opened with a raise.
Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t800 (9 handed) converter

Button (t8430)
SB (t12555)
BB (t7115)
UTG (t9390)
UTG+1 (t2953)
MP1 (t7225)
MP2 (t15680)
MP3 (t16870)
Hero (t7517)

Preflop: Hero is CO with Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
MP1 raises allin 7225, folded to hero...

Now at the time I thought sweet I finally have a hand and somebody is pushing into me. In retrospect, after putting him on a range of hands I'm not so sure. I think this is a fair range to put a tight/somewhat weak player to push with 9 BBs:
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

1,294,501,824 games 1.875 secs 690,400,972 games/sec

Board:
Dead:

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 42.6933 % 34.75% 07.94% { AQo }
Hand 2: 57.3067 % 49.36% 07.94% { 99+, AJs+, AJo+ }

P.S. yes I'm posting this hand because I lost, but I'm starting to think I overvalued having a big hand and ignored hand ranges. Can anybody justify a fold?
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