Re: $5-10 QQ bad river
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I think given the sparse read on villain he'll be more likely to call with A-high rather than raise it. By bet-folding we can extract value from an A-high and safely fold when we get raised.
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What hands does villain likely have here that contain an A in them and are not beating us?
How often is AK not three-betting pre-flop but raising a missed flop?
AQ I guess is the most likely here.
AJ and AT have us crushed anyway.
What other A's are involved here? A9?
I think villain is much more likely to either have us beat or have some kind of totally busted hand, like 88 or KQ. I think there is much more value in attempting to induce a bluff than hoping to get a call for value. Villain has a hand here that's he's calling with that isn't beating us very rarely in my opinion.
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