Re: Heads up pocket 66, call the all in, right move?
I guess i agree with sharpie.
The OP states this as a pure math problem.
66 vs AA-22, AK-AJ, KQ-KJ, QJ.
I get this as 47.4% vs 52.6%. I will assume payouts of $45/$27/$18.
EV folding would be $35.20
EV calling is .474 * 45 + .526 * 27 = $35.53 (i'll assume you lose if you lose this hand...)
Assuming your asumptions are correct (that sounds stupid), you would make 33 cents by calling. Very close. When I find myself playing tough, agressive opponents in these situations, I call. I'd rather spend my time on a new tournament playing donks than try to eek out another 50 cents worth of EV. If it was passive player instead, I fold.
The key is the assumptions which I wouldnt agree with. Would he push AA/KK here? Is he really pushing KJo? I'd belive the OP's range for the villain if the blings were 250/500+. But at 100/200, I cant think of many hands that i'd push - they are either too good or too bad.
|