[thesharpie]

This is the first time I've tried calculating something like this so bear with me, forgive and correct any errors please.

We need ~39% equity to breakeven and I'm pretty sure we have more than that against his range. Here is a quick pokerstove run against a conservative range, I think his range is wider given the description:

1,797,919,200 games 2.553 secs 704,237,837 games/sec
equity (%) win (%) / tie (%)

Hand 1: 45.1217 % [ 00.45 00.01 ] { 66 }
Hand 2: 54.8783 % [ 00.54 00.01 ] { AA-55, AKs-A7s, KQs-KJs, AKo-A9o, KQo-KJo }

I think we're losing ~T282 (4700*.06) if he has this range. If we think we're better and can make up more than this then I guess we should fold, but with the stacks at 22BB and going up to 15BB shortly one would think more luck is involved, so should we really pass up on this edge here?

Once again someone correct any errors please.

Edit: Against a more liberal range (any pair, KJo+, KTs+, A5s+, A7o+) we have almost over a 10% equity edge more than we need, losing around 2 1/2 BB by folding (T493). Excuse rounding offs and inaccuracy.