Thread: wierd bet
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Old 08-25-2005, 02:59 AM
Josh W Josh W is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2002
Posts: 647
Default Re: wierd bet

125 games so far, they've scored exactly 9 runs six times, and surrende red exactly 3 runs 20 times. So, assuming average probabilities (which is a close approximation), the chance of them winning 9 - 3 is:

(20/125) * (6/125) or about 0.75 in 100. So, yeah, 100:1 gives you a little edge.

Josh
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