Re: Big Slick in the Big Blind
Hm. We have two overcards and two backdoor draws, although the straight draw is very weak. While our overcards certainly aren't great here, I certainly don't give SB credit for a made hand yet, but if UTG or MP flopped a strong hand this could get ugly. Raising won't chase anyone out that we care about either. Assuming we don't currently have the best hand, at most we have 3 outs for the overcards, .5 for the straight and 1.5 for a total of 5 pre-discounted outs; that's a 10.6% chance of improving tops while we'll have to put in 11.1% of the pot, so we aren't getting strict odds to chase even in the best case. This looks like a good fold to me.
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