[elindauer]

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Raising the river seems equally risky. The TAG isn't calling 2 with most hands (especially since our turn check screams MONSTER), and is LAG is bluffing he'll fold.

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In what way does checking with position "scream monster"? I'd say it looks very weak to me. Similarly, raising a known LAG on the river could easily be an attempt to grab a pot in which no one seems to have much interest.

I expect QQ-TT to call 2 cold here. I also expect the LAG to call the raise with just about anything. To me, raising seems pretty clearly best.

If you assume that a raise will fold out the other two, than of course you can make an argument for an overcall. With only one potential overcall though, you need a significant concern that you are behind the bettor, or that there is no way he will call a raise. I don't think this hand qualifies in either category. After the turn, MP2 knows with virtual certainty that no one has an ace. Your river raise will surprise everyone. I expect them to be very suspicious.

good luck.
eric