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Old 08-22-2005, 02:16 PM
AaronBrown AaronBrown is offline
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Join Date: May 2005
Location: New York
Posts: 505
Default Re: Hypothetical Freeroll

Assume you can ignore other players, if there's anyone behind you seeing the straight with flush draw will almost certainly cause them to drop without a pair on the board.

Out of the 990 possible boards, 630 tie and 360 lose for you. If there is P is the pot before your opponent's raise, and the smaller of your two stacks is S, by calling you win P/2 630 times and lose S 360 times. That's breakeven if S is 7/8 of P. Any larger bet than that and you should fold.

In practice, one of you will have to be shortstacked to make this a good bet, unless there was really vigorous preflop action.
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