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Assuming he is calling with top 10% of hands (maybe a little too loose):
34% you double up: +1740
65% you lose: -1740

90% of the time overall you win +400


So (.9) * 400 + (.034) * 1740 + (.065) * -1740 = 306

Easy push.

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Thanks for running me through this. Seriously. But it doesn't take into account that Shortie is about to get hit with t400 and t200 in blinds. I was just thinking maybe I should have let go the +EV in order to let the blinds work on shortie.

Normally without a shortie around like this I insta-push this hand.