Re: PP 100-200 QQ hand.
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This is tricky. His river check almost always means that he doesn't have an A, so the key question here is whether he'd cap with JJ and smaller pairs preflop. I doubt he'd cap with TT or less, so it all comes down to whether he has KK or JJ. It seems like a tossup, except that
(a) JJ is more likely to check the river than KK
(b) if he has QQ, your bet has a very slight chance of getting him to fold
So I say it's a value bet, but not by a whole lot.
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agreed.
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