[Che]

...you insult our intelligence with such surface-level analysis? [img]/images/graemlins/laugh.gif[/img]

I do have a serious question, actually.

[ QUOTE ]
If UTG+1 wins, UTG+2 is eliminated. All players are now guaranteed 9th place money. Our hero's equity is .154*28,322+360=$4,722. If UTG+1 loses, our hero's equity is .154*31,562=$4,861.

[/ QUOTE ]

Are you sure hero's equity *decreases* when a player is eliminated? This result flies in the face of the "survival has value" theory which assumes your chips increase in value when players are eliminated (especially deep in the money).

On another topic, I would estimate our hero's EV would drop by ~$90 if we include the times that UTG+1 calls, which still leaves this as a clear push. Throw in that we're using a worst case scenario for the opponents' ranges (as you mentioned) and it's too bad TTIU didn't have any time bank left. [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

Very nice work, Lloyd!

Che