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Old 08-18-2005, 02:52 PM
Gar Pike Gar Pike is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2003
Posts: 32
Default Re: Opportunity or Fool\'s Gold? (K2o)

So, as I understand it, the Gigabet Theorem is that a slightly -ev play from a math point of view is offset by the +ev that a big stack gives you from a psychological point of view, and should be made if losing doesn't totally kill your stack and winning makes you the big stack.

I would look at how K2o plays against a couple of say, top 20% or 25% hands, which these players should be pushing here, given their stack sizes.

I don't know, they might even be playing a 30% or 35% hand, run the numbers on those, too.

Pokerstove is what other people on this forum have recommended for that kind of analysis.

I'm not sure how much of an -ev you can make up for by increasing your stack in this case, because you won't be the big stack even if you win.

That your FE increases dramatically when your OPP is out if he loses is the key to Giga's Theorem, and you aren't there.

I would probably need a top 15%-ish or better hand to call here.

Regards

Gar
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