[whipsaw]

I don't usually condone taking big favorites in baseball, but Houston at -220 against the Brewers just JUMPED off the page at me this morning. Clemens has given up more than 2 runs in a start just twice the whole season, and hasn't done so since June 6. Tomo Ohka, on the other hand, has done so twice in his last 3 starts. Ohka's career numbers against Houston are terrible, as are his stats since joining the Brew crew. I think visiting Milwaukee gets boatraced in this game. -220 looks like a steal to me.

Another line I like is Washington at +143 in their first game of the day. The matchup is Armas vs. Padilla. Armas has pitched pretty well for over a month now, including just pitching six scoreless in the thin air of Colorado. Although Padilla has been pitching pretty well, he walks a lot of batters, which scares me. Padilla's home numbers are awful, as are his career numbers against Montreal/Washington. I give the Nats a slight edge in this game, so I'll gladly take the +143.