[MarkGritter]

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I was wondering, what are the top 40% of hands in TD with 3 draws to go and the top 25%?


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Here's a back-of-the-envelope estimation.

Pat 7's, 8's, and 9's are 2% of hands. (But note that a pat 9 may be a dog vs. 3 1-card draws to a 7.)

1-card draws to a 7 (including all the crappy ones) contitute 3.5% of the deck, or 5.6% cumulative.

1-card draws to an 8: 7% (12.7% total)

2-card draws to a 7: 15.5% (~28% total)

2-card draws to an 8: 23% (~51% total)

3-card draws to a 7 (again, including all the crappy ones you shouldn't play): 15% (~67% total)

(Pat Ts and Js occur 6% of the deals, but there is some overlap I didn't account for between these and the draws listed--- and these are not good hands to stand with.)

Note that even though all playable 2-card draws to a 7 lie within the top 25% on this ranking I think it is unwise to reraise these OOP. Hand values will fluctuate much more than in Hold'em, with the last draw often being a 70/30 or 60/40 situation (which would be unusual on the river in Hold'em.)