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Old 08-17-2005, 01:04 PM
thabadguy thabadguy is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2005
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Default Re: Am I spewing chips pushing this draw? UB 3/6 NL

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Any advice from any non-weak tight players?

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Just for that, im gonna play one hand blind today(stick some duct tape on my screen where the cards would be) [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
Ok here goes...
shortie allin means any pair/2 pair..anything lets assume he shows KJ.
BB call im not too sure about..he might have AA, possibly with the Ac.
Limper push, i say set of TT or AQ.
now you push, and bb calls.
I would assume ur flush outs are clean(other than the Ac out there.) so you have about 8 outs..ull hit about 32%(very very rough) by the river, on the off chance that an Ace/9 is an out, you probably have 6 outs..2 gone.
your odds of hitting just your flush are 2:1 against, and ur getting just about that price on ur push(if you assume bb is gonna call, given his stack and pot size, i think its a safe assumption)you're getting 950:500 if i counted right, so its just about right, plus the times you split if the ace comes, and maaaybbbe when the ace/9 is good.
I dont mind it, too much.
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