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Old 08-17-2005, 11:19 AM
sekrah sekrah is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 998
Default Re: horse racing for novices

A very simple rule to throw out horses and narrow it down to contenders:

Never bet a horse that is coming off its best career race.

This horse is either A) Most certaintly going to be overbet by the general public, and B) Most certaintly going to go backwards in this race.

The only exception is if there was a long 5-6 week rest between his last race and now, and it was routine for the horse to take these long breaks between races.. If it was 2-3 weeks ago, toss him.


Same goes with horses coming off poor races.. Throw out the last race.. Compare the horses with their 2nd and 3rd races back.


Another tip.. Spot divergences in styles. If there are 8 horses, and 7 of them like to run near the lead, pick the one closer. If there's 7 horses that like to run near the back and close at the finish, pick the 1 horse that likes to lead.



You will greatly improve your chances of winning if you follow these two basic rules.
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