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Old 08-15-2005, 08:32 PM
Jbrochu Jbrochu is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 51
Default Re: Ok, I am CERTAIN this hand is obvious...

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its not necessary to do something like this, finding right situations for this is important in optimizing your EV.

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I agree with you in principle.

I'm assuming that at some buy-in level that I have not yet reached, you "need" to make moves like this to mazimize your success, unless you're happy to win when the deck hits you and lose when it doesn't.

Not to say that there isn't room for moves at the $33's, I find places here and there (post oak bluff when I'm fairly sure my opponent was on a draw but I don't have anything either being my favorite move at the moment). I just believe that really high risk moves like this one are likely -EV because you're getting called here (assuming stars $22 and $33) often with a lot of hands that have no business calling yet are 2 to 1 favorites over you.

Of course, it could just be that I'm picking bad spots to try high risk moves and my opinion of the likely low success of this move is born more from my own poor skills in picking spots.
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