Re: Bluff with my set?
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there are more opponents against whom you could value bet then ones you could bluff out. By far.
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this may be true, but you are still risking 2 or folding to gain 1. And i think you are beat here a lot. So it is -EV against a random player.
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In general no one is even considering folding anything you beat. You will get called by some worse hands though if you bet.
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do you mean anything that beats him? im 100% certain almost all players will fold bottom pair here. you will get called by some worse hands, but once again its not a value bet.
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All in all you should definitely check. THe only time you would gain from a bet is when he calls with a worse hand.
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I agree that its an easy check. But you woudlnt gain from a bet when he folds a beter hand?
all in all i would say the only value coming from a river bet is against a player who will fold a low spade or A or 9 (which is incorrect, yet the "good" players are more capable of doing this)
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