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Old 08-13-2005, 01:39 PM
DpR DpR is offline
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Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 76
Default Re: 300BB downswings are not normal. PERIOD!

Lestat highlights the important point - edge. Many post allude to this point but none of the post have come right out and said it. A 1BB winner is far more likely to have a 300BB downswing that a 2BB winner. The exact difference can be easily calculated. Take 10k hands, the 1 BB winner needs to have a 400BB below expectation result while the 2BB winner needs to experience a 500BB below expectation result.

Clearly people with lower win rates will think these downswings are more common. I personally have expereienced a huge difference in my 'percieved' variance from when I was playing as a 1BB winner vs a 2 BB winner.
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