Re: 300BB downswings are not normal. PERIOD!
[ QUOTE ]
You might be right that the commonness of 300 bb downswings is overblown for full game players, but you are certainly dead wrong for people who frequently play shorthanded.
[/ QUOTE ]
I know this is the commonly held belief, but it seems to contradict the results we would expect mathematically. Swings should be dependent on SD/100 and BB/100.
Other factors may create the illusion that shorthanded holdem is higher variance: faster pace, higher aggression level, forced to play more marginal hands pre flop, etc.
My SD/100 at 6 handed and less games is ~17 and for full games it is ~15(~150k at 6-max and 100 at full ring), so I wouldn't expect a substantial difference in the size of the swings given identical winrates.
|