Re: 2 steals and a crappy scenario with AQ
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Hand 3: Call the reraise, get your stack in (probably a c/r all-in) if you hit an A, make a judgment call if you flop a Q,
[/ QUOTE ]
Maybe I'm just being dense here, but isn't that the other way around?
[/ QUOTE ]
Perhaps. Here's my reasoning. I think that the reraise business is more likely to be JJ-AA than AK. People generally want to see a lot of cards when they are playing AK, so I think a push over the top would be more likely. (EDIT: I went back and looked at the stack sizes, MP was much deeper than I remembered and there are people yet to act. So pushing wouldn't happen, clearly. That said, I'd still expect a little bit of a larger raise from AK, but he is passive. In this case, hitting the A is slightly less exciting, but I think that because at that point there will be at most 8 AK combinations and probably 18 JJ-KK, you're still better off pushing.) Hitting an A means that AA becomes extremely unlikely and you beat all of the others, so you're good. If you hit a Q, KK-AA are still very real possibilities that beat you, and so it's a somewhat tougher decision.
|