Re: 5/10 SH variance.
4,000 hands : thats 2 nights for me. I once ran bad 6 nights in a row for about 500BB. Some of that was tilt for sure, but I think I counted 11/13 AA cracked in that stretch, it was downright awful beats.
Some of the longer, better players around here have suffered downswings in excess of 10K hands(maybe even 15K+). You can't even look at your stats or winrate or anything else with any worthwhile meaning until probably 25K+ and then only with a grain of salt. I think a good starting point for stats is 100K+. A few stats are OK to look at with this small a sample, things like VP$P & PFR%, but most of the rest is worthless.
I hope this helps answer your original question.
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